We Live on Fragile World

We live on a fragile world. It has many balances and checks that keep it in order, but there are many things in our solar system and the universe that can disturb this balance.

Most of them occur on a level we would find hard to stop happening, although we can plan for some of them, all of them are possible at some time and will happen. It’s not if, but when they will, hopefully when humans are not around anymore or have moved on.

I will try and include as many of the things as possible and how likely they are. Some are possibly in the order or millions of years, some may come later on today or tomorrow, or even approaching unobserved.

I’ve set up this site as a record of what seems to be happening in the world and what to look out for. If we can identify a threat we can work towards avoiding it or at least mitigating its effect.

At the moment we live is a relatively stable environment with certain major threats, but what worries me is that there is so little we know of times befoe about 12,000 years ago.

The idea that homo sapiens just ‘came into being’ about 300,000 years ago is often said, but the process is a gradual one of millions of years. Neanderthals developed probably around 450,000 years ago and belief led science of the past says that they were stupid cave dwellers that were little more than apes, but modern discoveries have found they were as able as sapiens, possibly more advanced at the time. We have as much as 4% Neanderthal genes, so sapiens bred with them. Maybe I have an affinity for them, as DNA testing claims that besides being in the top 2% for intelligence I am also in the top 2% for having the most discovered Neanderthal genes. I like sitting in my man cave with stones and odd bits of animal bones making or repairing things.

The first tools made by a homo species, maybe Keynathropus platyops or an Australopithecus type has been dated to about 3.3 million years ago. Flaked and sharpened stones, hammers and large shaped rocks moved and used as anvils in the Kenya area. Other animal bones with distinct cut marks have been found in Ethiopia, from about the same time, so the assumption is that nothing happened in the way of technological development for all but 15,000 years of a 3 million year span is the current belief.

We live on a big world, but if there was a disaster that wiped out most of the humans or reset the civilisations what we would have achieved apart from massive stone structures would disappear completely within a few thousand years. Take an iPhone. Leave in in a cave for 10,000 years or bury and you would have a small area with slightly higher levels of rare earths. All the buildings would go within 5,000, something like the Eiffel Tower being a source of reddish iron rich rock after that time, mined and being smelted without knowing what it was or where it came from. After 30,000 years there would be little trace. The current belief is that advancement only has happened in the last ½ percent of homo’s existence, nothing before, except anomalies that don’t fit, so assumed they can be ignored. What were they doing the other 99.5% of the time?

I must admit I eat meat. I would rather not, but it leaves other problems open until we no longer require it for sustenance or a tenable alternative. Like with intolerances and allergies, not eating something your body can tolerate over time probably leaves it open to first not being able to tolerate it, developing allergies to it, then later evolving so you can no longer use that food. It’s likely, like with gluten, lactose and nut intolerances and allergies we may develop meat, dairy and other intolerances, not being able to utilise an increasing percentage of available food by not stressing or tempering our bodies by exposure to them. People with little problems with them find it fashionable to avoid them thinking it will do them good, but most of these are probably confirmation bias led beliefs. A sort of reverse placebo effect. Come a major disaster, and such limitations may back us into extinction. Things like Giant Pandas and Koalas are just extinctions waiting to happen. The average giant panda has about £16,000 per individual per year investment behind it to keep it going, compared to people baulking at allowing £500 per year for humans.
Until we leave the planet and have more than one certain target painted on all life on earth, meat is probably going to be an uncomfortable and immoral necessity for an advanced race.
Myself, I class myself as just another temporary animal trying to survive, not above any other and having extra rights, but also not below any other and deserving of just being fenced in small areas, nature having rights above me. You do what you need to survive, and allow others the right and ability to survive.

I like other creatures and other creatures seem to like me. I help them where and when I can. They all have personalities, desires and maybe even beliefs, use logic, and aren’t as distinct from us as many people believe. It’s not us and them, it’s us being a part of them, just slightly more clever and able in some ways.

Many other creatures live for the here and now, not hoarding all they can grab for an unknown and unreliable future, making it more difficult for others and causing that future to be more uncertain and perilous, even for their own descendants, find us amusing and incomprehensible, if worrying, with our antics.

I have traced back 63 major civilisations in the world and what seemed to be a path to their root ancestors to 6 separate areas of the world. In all those 6 areas separated by as much as 10,000 miles apart things started advancing in a similar and major way simultaneously about 10,000 years ago after hundreds of thousands or millions of years of not doing so with no obvious or recorded contact with each other. Another coincidence is that this happened at exactly the same time as the extinction of a lot of the megafauna in the world. Have we advanced in intellect and ability massively over the last couple of thousand years. The discovery of the Antikythera mechanism from about 2,000 years ago suggests we haven’t advanced that fast, as with carvings from 10,000 years ago, a problem for modern designers.

We’ve probably not changed too much in the past 100,000 years intellectualy, so advancement could be around a 1 in 10 chance or 0.1 probability over that period, but 6 concurrent events, probably a 0.1^6 or 1 in a million chance of occurrence. Add to this the extinction of the megafauna, you would need to add a 1 in 100 chance taking the odds to 100 million to 1 that this was just by chance. The discovery of old maps that seem to indicate ice free coastlines in the Antarctic, a thing that probably hasn’t happened for at least 12,000 years is merely a supporting detail, being almost certain that there is something in history that we don’t know about, a thing that may affect us dramatically, known history being only decided by the tellers of the story.

I don’t think is was just the conspiracy theory of ‘Aliens’ giving us knowledge and behind all the human achievements. I think we were and are quite capable of many of the things of the past and nearly all observations are due to being unfamilar with nature and its effects.

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