12/02/2022 – Flock of Yellow-Headed Blackbirds fall dead to ground in Chihuahua.
09/01/2022 – Grackles or large blackbirds swarming again in the Texas area.
19/06/2021 – 9,000 racing pigeons set off from Peterborough of about 250,000 birds released that day in the UK, on a flight that should take 3 hours on average. About 5,000 (55%) of those failed to arrive, and 90% failed to arrive in the expected time for the UK, so the overall loss may be as high as 30,000. There have also been reports of heavy losses in Belgium and Portugal. Pigeons navigate by sight and magnetic lines.
24/01/2021 – Grackles or large blackbirds swarming in the Texas area. Normally thins sort of thing usually happens in Africa. The common grackle (Quiscalus quiscula) and other of the Quiscalus species have been found to be attuned to earth’s magnetic fields to a significant degree.
24/12/2020 10 Whales become stranded on North Yorkshire beach.
The deepest hole ever made through the crust was the Kola Superdeep Borehole that was about 7.6 miles. The earths crust at the point it was made was about 3 times this distance, so what lies beneath isn’t proven but guesswork from seismic estimations, so the idea of believe two massive blobs on molten iron in Earth’s outer core, is guesswork based on guesswork of an estimation.
We are supposed to have inside the earth a large core of mainly molten iron that is prone to fluid flow. From this molten core we are supposed to get our protective magnetic shield. Many experiments have been made to simulate this core but most of them are really two dimensional paint studies, and forgetting a third dimension usually renders them just theoretical guesswork at best. So we have a swirling mass that changes in 3 dimensions with us floating on a crust and intermediate zone around it. Most of its effects are long term unless something happens to interfere with its balance.
For the past 150 years the magnetic north pole has been moving and speeding up, especially within the last 70 years, having moved the same distance in the last 10 years as the first 100 years recorded, and likely the previous 120 before that. From about 1850 the direction has been steadily moving towards the actual North pole and at this moment isn’t that far from it. The direction has been roughly a 105° direction across the pole towards a 285° direction.
But if you compare the movements of the north magnetic pole to the south magnetic pole there is a remarked difference in that the south is not moving anywhere near so much. But there is evidence appearing that things are also happening in the South. One thing that is marked which is supported by a recent NASA satellite survey, is that one side of the antarctic is losing ice and the other side is gaining it. This seems to be the 105° direction consistently losing ice and the 285° direction gaining it. Now this may just be a coincidence, but the direction that it is happening in the south ought to be kept an eye on as it may be another indication of a axis or pole shift. Things don’t just happen by chance and the direction this is happening seems to be in the same diagonal as the magnetic north shift.
It’s guessed that a pole reversal happens about every 2-300,000 years, but the last one was 780,000 years ago, and it’s said to take 100’s of thousands of years. Again this is guesswork against an actual phenomena that we are seeing and recording. We know the poles change place as they have been recorded in history, but estimates seem to indicate that prior to 1650 the magnetic north pole had been slowly moving south until about 1850, about the distance it has moved in the past 20 years. Now, if you add to the mix the last major flare from the sun that was called the Carrington event that took place in 1859, effectively a large magnetic kick, its strange that it changed direction and started to increase in speed at that point in time.
The consensus is that it’s nothing to worry about and if it did happen then there would be little effect, but it’s possible it could be like comparing the waterline receding suddenly a mile and just claiming the tides just going out. Things on a planetary scale are rarely insignificant, whoever claims that they are.
The world works on checks and balances and one of the things that protects us is our magnetic field, minor changes in it causing major effects, especially as far as our complicated electrical equipment goes. If we are due for a pole change the magnetic situation of a planetary size shift may be more than a minor fluctuation and be destabilised for more than a few hours. I can visualise as much as 50% more ionising radiation from the sun reaching the planet so we could be in for a rough ride. But things are not just separate systems totally unconnected, and it may be no coincidence that the thing known as the Carrington event happened about the time that this shift started to be noticed.
With the world going into a bit of disarray with Covid-19, another ‘Carrington event’ when the earth’s protection is at it’s weakest may be a big problem. Look at the problems we have had with what is really a minor problem in world terms as far as the systems we have in place that have been affected. I refer to another article I wrote on the dangers of a technically, socially and economically interdependent and interconnected society. The more ‘systems’ that are in place, and the more complicated the relationships between them, the bigger impact a deviation in the nexus points will give. Not all nexus points are physical, society creating artifical ones that function in reality. All systems are rarely chaotic, and dependent on nexus points for their operation. People often call them tipping points, but they are really multidimensional entities. I plan to do another article on dynamic nexus analysis and how they apply to models in the future.
Recently there was a study that found semi-tropical conditions at the south pole that may have been there 90 million years ago, so the possibility is that the earth was a lot hotter then than now by not as trivial as a 1 or 2°C difference, but as much as +70°C. What if it was a difference in attitude to the sun that would not show up in any magnetic fields in rocks?
One of the things that has always interested me is why there is a sudden change from purely nomadic random wanderers in the human race to farmers and massive monument builders with organised societies and religions. This happened between about 10,000-5,000 BCE. For hundreds of thousands of years it is assumed we carried on with little technology or organisation but something gave a push about 7,000 years ago, and all this appeared within a very short time, pretty simultaneously around the world at places thousands of miles distant. Science is good, but it is very quick to discount evidence that doesn’t fit, always trying to look at it in a way that will make it fit the current consensus, rather than taking it as is.
If you look at all the civilizations, the cut-off point is somewhere near 10,000 years ago. Before that next to nothing, after that large expansion and development worldwide. It’s possible that man developed to an advanced level quickly, but our current species showed various items and ornaments that were ceremonial up to 50,000 years ago and have been found recently in neanderthal societies, assuming that they were taught this by homo sapiens. We aren’t even sure it was not the other way around, in which case history of such things could go back 250,000 years.
In one of my other articles I indicated and was struck how ancient man was not so different in abilities to the current man, but what was odd was that everywhere there was next to no real progress in 100’s of thousands of years, and suddenly all around the world simultaneous and sychronised advancement started up.
If there is a major problem brewing it is not likely to culminate in the next few years, and estimated at being at least something like 30+ years in the future, probably over 100, but like the events that have been happening recently, our highly specialised, interconnected, interdependent and interrelated technological society has little planning and in-built resilience to weather such storms, the iron-age being just a storms throw away.
The first idea that there was a north magnetic pole started in about 1600 with William Gilbert, but lodestones had been in use for thousands of years. People have floated magnetised needles to find directions probably since about the year 250AD, when iron needles were first found. There was an expedition to find the north magnetic pole in 1831 by James Ross. But when Roald Amundsen did the same in 1903 he found that it was in a slightly different place and subsequent searches have done the same. A lot of the rest of the movements are guesswork based on the paleomagnetism of volcanic type rocks. A rocks have a faint magnetic field and when the rock is molten the bands align themselves with the earths magnetic field so when they solidify they get fixed in that position. This gives you a rough idea as to where they were pointing. With plate tectonics though the plates don’t just move, they twist and turn like big twisty turny things, so it confuses everything, but statistically they suggest where the poles were at rough points in time. All science is guesswork and is correct right up until the time it isn’t, which happens a lot, but generally if points you in a particular direction just as long as you don’t over egg the results, assumptions and conclusions.
So we have a good idea that up until the mid-1800’s the magnetic north pole was moving slowly and something happened that made it speed up, as it has been doing since. The past 10 years about the same distance as the previous 20, as the previous 30, as the previous 90, possibly as the previous 200. My guess is that it is the result of the Carrington event in 1859 that was a coronal mass ejection that hopefully directly hit the earth. This we are not sure of and may have been a minor or glancing hit. We are floating and spinning in space and supposed to be sitting on a core of molten iron that gives us our magnetic field and protection, but this fluidity also allows for it being effected by a massive magnetic pulse, such as a sudden burst from charged particles from the sun. If you remember playing with a couple of bar magnets at school you can turn one by moving another, and a free floating bar magnet such as the earth can be effected by charged bits flying off the biggest magnet in the solar system, the sun. A very hot viscous fluid medium may not change too much, but a change in the semi-chaotic fluid spin would possibly cause localised eddies that could turn into a bigger movement, especially if reinforced with subsequent events.
Recently areas under the ice of the Antartica were found to have vegetation similar to Wales and nobody’s come up with a scenario why this could be so at the south pole that has a current average temperature of -49°C. It ranges from about -28°C in January to about -59°C in July, so how you get +20°C vegetation there is rather worrying.
It’s interesting that the models that are used to calculate the CO2 levels then are using the same sets of data and models that they are using to calculate the effect now. So they are using that data to calculate the temperature and CO2 then. In other words saying B will happen because of A, then the model of A is dependent on the model of B, which is a model dependent on the model of A, which is dependent on the model of B. A completely self-supporting cyclic proof. The average temperature there is currently about -55°C, but they are claiming an average temperature existed there of 12°C, an average difference of 72°C between then and now, which is 161°F difference. You wonder what the rest of the planet needed to be like to produce that ‘Climate of New Zealand and Rainfall of Wales.’ Probably about 75°C or 167°F at the equator, so everything at that time was dead out past the tropics. Or it could just be that their planetary models are completely wrong and wildly inaccurate, being more like pre-decided opinionated guesswork.
Ice sheets will cause a change in the albedo, but what gets the ice sheets started from an almost tropical climate? One of the things that could account for the temperature differences could be something like a axis shift, which would account for some of the previously warmer areas undergoing freezing and glaciation while others go all tropical,
It’s always assumed that the angle to the sun is roughly what is was then and changes little, but there is growing evidence that even changes in CO2 levels doesn’t account for all the changes in climate.
I expect looking under the North Pole you will get a similar climate difference to now, being similar to the Antarctic. It could be that the moon’s rotational drag was not originally the path that it currently is, and over a long period of time the difference between it’s current and past orbits, perturbed by the sun has changed the tilt of the earth.
So what change in axis would give the North Pole and the South Pole a climate of say Wales? Probably up to a 30° change. A number of connected events that have happened in the past seem to support that there was a warmer climate at some times than others in the Far North and South. If they happened at the same time and the equatorial area was not wiped out, the likeliest answer is that they were in different positions and that the equatorial areas may have been colder at that time.
Dancing round the magpole:
When rocks are formed, when they are still fluid the
particles especially iron bearing ones, try and align with the magnetic field
that is present. The plates also move and turn, and rock formations fold and
twist, which is why you get earthquakes. Even in one rock you get variations,
but statistically they’re similar. From a model of all these combinations and
comparing the statistics you get a general idea of what happened to the
magnetic field in the past. There are magnetic anomalies all over the place,
just look at the NOAA maps, and terrain changes, so you can’t really get an
accurate picture of what and how it happened. The magnetic reversal has
happened a number of times in the past, but if it were too quick it wouldn’t be
recorded and may have happened within modern human existence, as rocks take a
while to stabilise.
It’s only been recorded directly really since about 1890,
every previous calculation being based on models and estimates, and was pretty
constant for a number of years, but has sped up consistently getting faster
over the last 120 years of records. 1900-1960=1960-1995=1995-2008=2008-2018. So
it’s travelled in the past three years about the same as the first 30 years of
On the other end of the planet, the south magnetic field is
hardly changing and seems pretty well fixed in place, that is why there may be
a sudden magnetic pole change like an over tensioned object giving way. Nobody
knows when this tension may be overstressed.
If you fit an exponential trend line to the data it suggests
that this will happen between 10-50 years. There is a chance that it will
destabilise the earth’s magnetic field for a few decades, but it’s doubtful for
more than a century.